CD Móstoles vs Aravaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
15.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+88%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Móstoles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ALC
1 - 1
CDM
55%
24%
21%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CDM
1 - 4
POZ
35%
27%
39%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 0
CDM
37%
28%
35%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
SIE
0 - 0
CDM
27%
26%
47%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
CDM
2 - 1
ALC
40%
26%
34%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ARA
3 - 1
STA
52%
23%
26%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
INT
3 - 0
ARA
62%
22%
16%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ARA
0 - 1
GET
21%
22%
58%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
SFN
3 - 0
ARA
65%
21%
14%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
SFN
2 - 2
ARA
65%
21%
13%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |