Morata CD vs Herrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
42.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morata CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
LAA
1 - 0
CDM
84%
11%
5%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
CDM
0 - 0
MAE
30%
22%
48%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
AND
1 - 0
CDM
44%
25%
31%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CDM
1 - 1
ACF
15%
20%
64%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
ALB
2 - 0
CDM
36%
25%
39%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Herrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
HER
1 - 1
ATC
24%
22%
55%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
CEL
4 - 1
HER
46%
24%
30%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
HER
1 - 1
CDU
17%
22%
62%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CDC
2 - 1
HER
56%
21%
23%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
HER
3 - 0
CAL
34%
23%
44%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +2 |