Morales de Toro vs Fresno de La Ribera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
50.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morales de Toro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
ATL
4 - 1
MOR
48%
21%
32%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
MOR
4 - 4
IZA
46%
22%
33%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 1
MOR
46%
21%
33%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
MOR
0 - 3
GCE
21%
20%
59%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
TOR
3 - 2
MOR
58%
19%
24%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fresno de La Ribera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
FRE
1 - 1
TOR
36%
22%
42%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
RCB
2 - 0
FRE
33%
22%
45%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -2 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
FRE
0 - 2
COR
36%
23%
41%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
ZAM
4 - 1
FRE
56%
20%
24%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
FRE
1 - 3
SPO
80%
13%
7%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | -2 |