Monte Carlo vs Windsor Arch Ka I analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
23.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2010 |
PSP
0 - 2
MCA
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
MCA
4 - 1
HFM
55%
22%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2010 |
MCA
1 - 1
FCP
56%
22%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
GDA
2 - 2
MCA
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
KTM
1 - 2
MCA
48%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Windsor Arch Ka I
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2010 |
GLP
1 - 2
WAK
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
WAK
2 - 0
GDA
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
WAK
1 - 0
PSP
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
FCP
0 - 5
WAK
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
HFM
1 - 4
WAK
52%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |