Monte Carlo vs Sporting Macau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
20%
17%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
17%
18.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-107%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
PSP
1 - 2
MCA
40%
23%
37%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2018 |
MCA
0 - 1
HSA
62%
17%
21%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
LAI
1 - 9
MCA
44%
21%
35%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
CHF
2 - 3
MCA
45%
21%
34%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
PSP
1 - 5
MCA
41%
24%
36%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Macau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
SMA
5 - 0
ALF
60%
20%
20%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
CHF
1 - 0
SMA
52%
21%
28%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
SMA
1 - 7
BEN
44%
21%
35%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2017 |
MAC
1 - 2
SMA
44%
22%
34%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2017 |
SMA
2 - 2
KLM
45%
22%
34%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |