Monte Carlo vs Policia SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
19.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
WAK
0 - 0
MCA
55%
20%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
MCA
4 - 3
LLM
60%
20%
20%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2012 |
FCP
2 - 1
MCA
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2012 |
KTM
0 - 3
MCA
43%
23%
34%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
MCA
3 - 0
MAC
59%
20%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Policia SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
PSP
3 - 0
MAC
43%
24%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
BEN
3 - 1
PSP
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
PSP
2 - 0
HNM
46%
23%
30%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
GLP
2 - 0
PSP
56%
21%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
PSP
2 - 1
KTM
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |