Monte Carlo vs CSL Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
19.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
MCA
2 - 1
HNM
70%
16%
14%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
MCA
2 - 1
FCP
58%
20%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
MCA
3 - 3
GLP
54%
20%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
PSP
0 - 1
MCA
39%
24%
37%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
MCA
1 - 0
WAK
55%
20%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CSL Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
MAC
0 - 0
BEN
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
KTM
2 - 4
BEN
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2012 |
HNM
0 - 3
BEN
41%
23%
36%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
BEN
3 - 0
GLP
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
PSP
0 - 1
BEN
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |