Molareño vs Carranza B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.8%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.1%
58.1%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
17%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Molareño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
VEL
4 - 0
MOL
53%
20%
27%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
MOL
0 - 4
MSP
9%
14%
77%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
PED
4 - 0
MOL
87%
9%
4%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
MOL
0 - 4
FBC
43%
22%
35%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
UDS
4 - 0
MOL
90%
7%
3%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Carranza B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 3
SPO
47%
21%
32%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
PBT
4 - 1
CAR
38%
21%
41%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 3
UNI
74%
14%
12%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 3
TAL
56%
19%
25%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 0
ATL
47%
20%
32%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |