CD Málaga vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
19.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1979 |
ALM
3 - 0
MAL
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1979 |
MAL
2 - 0
CAS
61%
25%
15%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1979 |
RCF
0 - 1
MAL
38%
30%
32%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1979 |
MAL
3 - 0
BET
39%
29%
33%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
TER
2 - 2
MAL
44%
29%
27%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1979 |
RMC
1 - 0
GDE
65%
21%
15%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1979 |
ALG
3 - 0
RMC
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1979 |
RMC
4 - 0
MUR
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
ELC
2 - 1
RMC
65%
21%
15%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1979 |
RMC
1 - 0
DEP
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |