Machuka vs Sauzal B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
50%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+101%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Machuka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
HID
2 - 1
MAC
62%
19%
19%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
MAC
4 - 0
VTA
70%
16%
14%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
ORO
0 - 4
MAC
46%
21%
32%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
MAC
2 - 0
PER
55%
20%
25%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
VER
2 - 2
MAC
30%
22%
48%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sauzal B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
VTA
2 - 2
SAU
11%
15%
75%
|
19 | 8 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
SAU
3 - 0
PER
82%
11%
7%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
INT
2 - 2
SAU
22%
20%
58%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
SAU
2 - 0
ANC
64%
17%
19%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
UDR
1 - 4
SAU
29%
21%
50%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |