CD Lugo Fuenlabrada vs Union Deportiva Usera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
60.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-60%
+200%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo Fuenlabrada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ATZ
1 - 0
LUG
43%
23%
34%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
LUG
2 - 1
YSB
44%
24%
32%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CFM
0 - 2
LUG
73%
16%
10%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
LUG
0 - 0
DPF
5%
10%
85%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CAS
5 - 1
LUG
86%
10%
5%
|
8 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Union Deportiva Usera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 1
ORC
53%
21%
26%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
NUE
0 - 4
UNI
20%
21%
59%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
UNI
3 - 1
CUL
69%
16%
15%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ALZ
1 - 0
UNI
38%
24%
38%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 2
EFC
47%
22%
31%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |