CD Lugo Fuenlabrada vs CD Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo Fuenlabrada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ALA
3 - 3
LUG
41%
26%
33%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
LUG
3 - 0
PBO
88%
9%
2%
|
25 | 9 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
ARG
0 - 0
LUG
37%
26%
37%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
LUG
3 - 0
BET
73%
17%
10%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
PAR
1 - 2
LUG
43%
26%
32%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
CD Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
CDF
3 - 2
CLA
61%
20%
20%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
LAA
4 - 2
CDF
44%
24%
32%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
CDF
1 - 1
VLO
30%
25%
45%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 1
CDF
48%
25%
27%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CDF
1 - 0
ARG
50%
22%
28%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |