CD Lugo Fuenlabrada vs Aravaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
26.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo Fuenlabrada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 1
LUG
60%
23%
17%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
LUG
1 - 0
ATB
11%
19%
71%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | +3 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
MEX
0 - 0
LUG
73%
18%
9%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
RVB
0 - 0
LUG
83%
12%
5%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
LUG
1 - 0
ATM
81%
14%
5%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ARA
1 - 1
PBO
62%
21%
17%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
POZ
0 - 0
ARA
63%
22%
16%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
ARA
1 - 1
ADP
34%
25%
42%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ARA
2 - 3
SFN
42%
25%
33%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
INT
0 - 0
ARA
56%
23%
20%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |