CD Lorca vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
12.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lorca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
CIE
2 - 1
LOR
43%
23%
34%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
LOR
6 - 3
THA
85%
10%
5%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
HEL
2 - 0
LOR
69%
16%
15%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
LOR
2 - 1
AGU
73%
15%
12%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1956 |
ORI
2 - 2
LOR
39%
24%
38%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
NOV
3 - 0
ALM
78%
12%
10%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
CAL
5 - 1
NOV
59%
19%
22%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -2 |
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
NOV
3 - 2
MIN
82%
11%
7%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
ELD
3 - 1
NOV
45%
22%
34%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1956 |
NOV
0 - 3
ELC
56%
20%
24%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -3 |