Lliones vs Sariegos del Bernesga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
69.6%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
8%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+89%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lliones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CUB
4 - 0
LLI
73%
15%
12%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
LLI
4 - 2
NAR
11%
17%
72%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
LLI
3 - 3
BER
60%
19%
21%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
LAC
2 - 1
LLI
88%
8%
4%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 1
LLI
89%
8%
4%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sariegos del Bernesga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SBE
6 - 1
BER
89%
8%
3%
|
24 | 9 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
LAC
0 - 2
SBE
32%
21%
48%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
SBE
4 - 2
ATL
74%
14%
12%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 5
SBE
11%
16%
73%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
VIR
1 - 0
SBE
15%
18%
68%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | -1 |