Leones del Norte vs Aucas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.6%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.8%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.6%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.3%
85.1%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
12.3%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19%
0-4
9.3%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
13.2%
0-5
5.6%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
7.5%
0-6
2.8%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.6%
0-7
1.2%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.5%
0-8
0.5%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones del Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2022 |
CDE
0 - 3
CLN
25%
21%
54%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
CLN
4 - 0
CDE
58%
20%
22%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
CLN
0 - 2
IMB
20%
24%
57%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
IMB
1 - 1
CLN
69%
19%
11%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
CLN
2 - 1
CDS
35%
25%
40%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 4
AUC
25%
26%
50%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2022 |
AUC
2 - 1
BSC
42%
27%
32%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
MUS
1 - 1
AUC
34%
25%
41%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
AUC
1 - 0
CFC
69%
20%
12%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
TEC
0 - 1
AUC
35%
26%
39%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |