CD Ursaria vs Union Carrascal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.1%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
13%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ursaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
COL
1 - 0
URS
61%
21%
19%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
URS
3 - 1
NPA
80%
13%
7%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
BET
1 - 1
URS
41%
24%
36%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
URS
2 - 3
BRU
70%
17%
13%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
IMA
1 - 4
URS
30%
23%
47%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Union Carrascal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
UCA
0 - 1
SMV
55%
21%
24%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
VAL
3 - 2
UCA
66%
19%
15%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
UCA
1 - 1
SEU
54%
21%
25%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 2
UCA
47%
22%
30%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
UCA
1 - 1
RIV
46%
23%
32%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |