CD Ursaria vs EF Arganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
23.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ursaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CDV
3 - 0
URS
47%
23%
30%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
CMP
1 - 3
URS
43%
23%
34%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
URS
1 - 0
COL
14%
19%
67%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
YEB
4 - 1
URS
71%
15%
13%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
URS
1 - 2
ARA
45%
23%
32%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
EF Arganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ARG
1 - 5
CMP
56%
21%
23%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
COL
1 - 0
ARG
74%
16%
10%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ARG
0 - 2
YEB
37%
23%
40%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
ARA
3 - 0
ARG
53%
21%
26%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ARG
1 - 1
CDF
63%
20%
18%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |