Jerica vs Esportiu Vila Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
69.1%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
JER
2 - 1
SPO
39%
23%
38%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
BEN
3 - 2
JER
62%
20%
19%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
JER
7 - 0
ALT
58%
20%
21%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
RIB
3 - 2
JER
31%
23%
46%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
VIV
3 - 0
JER
73%
16%
11%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Esportiu Vila Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ESP
1 - 0
AND
87%
9%
4%
|
20 | 5 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
SPO
1 - 2
ESP
15%
19%
66%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ESP
3 - 1
BEN
77%
14%
9%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ALT
0 - 7
ESP
9%
15%
76%
|
19 | 5 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ESP
7 - 0
RIB
86%
10%
4%
|
19 | 5 | 14 | 0 |