Guayarmina vs Moya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.9%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.1%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.6%
6.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guayarmina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
SAR
4 - 3
GYM
15%
16%
69%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
GYM
6 - 2
ITF
79%
13%
9%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
SAU
1 - 1
GYM
18%
19%
63%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
GYM
3 - 3
SSJ
63%
18%
19%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
CAR
2 - 2
GYM
39%
22%
39%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Moya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
MOY
1 - 7
GUA
18%
19%
63%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2025 |
MOY
3 - 4
VIL
13%
15%
72%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
ICO
0 - 4
MOY
28%
20%
52%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
MOY
1 - 3
KAY
16%
18%
66%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
TEJ
2 - 1
MOY
24%
21%
56%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | -1 |