Guarnizo B vs Castro B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
10.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+98%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarnizo B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
LIE
2 - 2
GNZ
57%
19%
24%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
GNZ
2 - 0
JDM
40%
22%
38%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
SRO
0 - 7
GNZ
18%
19%
63%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
RIO
0 - 2
GNZ
28%
21%
52%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
GNZ
0 - 0
MER
37%
21%
42%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Castro B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 4
RIO
67%
17%
16%
|
10 | 6 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
MER
1 - 3
CAS
70%
17%
13%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 2
VEL
73%
15%
13%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
FOC
2 - 1
CAS
77%
13%
10%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
4 - 1
ESP
67%
16%
17%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | 0 |