Copa RFAF . Quarter-finals
First-leg 0-3
CD Gerena vs Salerm Puente Genil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
31.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Gerena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
CDA
3 - 0
CDG
46%
25%
29%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
ANT
3 - 0
CDG
60%
23%
17%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 2
CDG
16%
22%
62%
|
32 | 14 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
PRA
0 - 3
CDG
10%
20%
71%
|
32 | 7 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2022 |
PUE
0 - 3
CDG
14%
18%
68%
|
32 | 12 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Salerm Puente Genil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
CDA
3 - 0
CDG
46%
25%
29%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
CDA
2 - 0
COR
70%
19%
11%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
CDA
2 - 4
MAR
20%
24%
57%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
UTR
2 - 2
CDA
57%
24%
19%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
XER
2 - 0
CDA
55%
24%
22%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |