CD Gerena vs CD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
31.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Gerena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
SRQ
0 - 2
CDG
59%
23%
18%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
CDG
4 - 1
ASJ
50%
23%
27%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
CAD
1 - 2
CDG
36%
26%
38%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
CDG
3 - 0
CON
67%
19%
15%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ARC
1 - 1
CDG
31%
25%
44%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ALC
0 - 1
MAI
59%
22%
19%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
SEV
2 - 2
ALC
21%
24%
55%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ALC
3 - 2
BET
36%
26%
38%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
REC
2 - 2
ALC
24%
24%
52%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
LEB
1 - 4
ALC
31%
26%
44%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |