CD Gerena vs AD Cartaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
12%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
1º
5º
3º
29
5º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
4º
|
50.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
50.5% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
64.5% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
64.5% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 38 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
56.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 33 |
13º
|
93.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
93.5% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Gerena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
CDR
0 - 3
CDG
19%
23%
57%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
CDG
2 - 0
CAC
59%
21%
20%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
AYA
0 - 5
CDG
32%
25%
42%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CDG
1 - 1
SEV
52%
24%
25%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
COR
0 - 0
CDG
20%
24%
57%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
AD Cartaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 1
POZ
42%
26%
33%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
XER
0 - 2
CAR
60%
23%
18%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 1
CRD
17%
22%
61%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CDA
4 - 1
CAR
74%
16%
10%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 3
ESP
43%
25%
32%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |