CD Fortuna vs Real Aranjuez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
50.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
CDV
6 - 0
CDF
65%
19%
16%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
CDF
2 - 5
MOB
43%
24%
34%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
CDE
1 - 0
CDF
50%
23%
28%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
CDF
1 - 0
NAV
45%
23%
32%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
PAR
2 - 4
CDF
68%
18%
14%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
ARA
1 - 1
SAR
72%
16%
12%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
CMP
1 - 0
ARA
26%
23%
51%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
ARA
3 - 0
YEB
69%
18%
13%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
IVA
1 - 1
ARA
39%
23%
37%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
ARA
0 - 0
SIE
37%
24%
38%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |