CD Fortuna vs Arganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+73%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CDM
1 - 2
CDF
48%
23%
29%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
VLO
4 - 0
CDF
43%
26%
31%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CDF
2 - 1
LEG
33%
25%
42%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
CDF
1 - 2
VIL
27%
25%
47%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
COL
2 - 1
CDF
65%
21%
14%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Arganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ARG
1 - 0
VLO
34%
27%
39%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ARG
2 - 2
VIL
19%
23%
58%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ARA
1 - 1
ARG
63%
21%
16%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ARG
2 - 2
ALH
54%
22%
25%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
PAR
2 - 1
ARG
64%
19%
17%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |