Florida 2023 vs Santa Bárbara 2014 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
44.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Florida 2023
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
5 - 2
FLR
82%
11%
7%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
FLR
0 - 1
NER
55%
20%
25%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
THA
3 - 3
FLR
42%
21%
37%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FLR
3 - 1
SAG
53%
20%
27%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Santa Bárbara 2014
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
NER
2 - 0
SAN
28%
21%
51%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 4
MAT
60%
18%
22%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 0
THA
74%
15%
12%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SAG
0 - 1
SAN
19%
20%
62%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SAN
3 - 3
CDR
70%
16%
14%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |