Femsa vs AD Plus Ultra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
41.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Femsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1956 |
MAN
1 - 0
FEM
50%
22%
29%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
FEM
1 - 0
MAN
50%
22%
28%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
GUA
3 - 2
FEM
74%
15%
12%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
FEM
4 - 2
CUA
55%
20%
26%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
PAR
1 - 1
FEM
80%
12%
8%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1956 |
PUL
6 - 0
ARA
85%
9%
6%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
AVI
2 - 1
PUL
40%
22%
38%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
PUL
4 - 0
GIM
88%
8%
4%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
PUE
1 - 1
PUL
51%
21%
29%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
PUL
4 - 0
CDT
86%
9%
5%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |