Carejas Paredes vs Villarcayo Nela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
46.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2556%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carejas Paredes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
VIL
3 - 0
CAR
71%
19%
10%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
SAL
0 - 0
CAR
62%
21%
18%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 3
PAL
9%
15%
76%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
CDC
7 - 0
CAR
87%
10%
4%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 1
PAL
15%
22%
63%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Villarcayo Nela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 1
INT
54%
23%
23%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
PAL
1 - 0
VIL
68%
18%
14%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 0
LER
41%
25%
34%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 3
VIL
43%
25%
32%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
CDC
2 - 0
VIL
74%
16%
10%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |