Carejas Paredes vs Castilla Dueñas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.3%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
7.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+260%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carejas Paredes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 0
BAL
60%
20%
20%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
CER
2 - 1
CAR
43%
23%
34%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
FRO
0 - 2
CAR
26%
23%
51%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
JUA
0 - 3
CAR
8%
17%
76%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 0
AST
76%
15%
8%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Castilla Dueñas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
CAS
3 - 3
ALA
61%
20%
20%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
BAL
2 - 1
CAS
71%
16%
13%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 2
CAS
75%
14%
10%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
CER
5 - 0
CAS
80%
13%
7%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 2
FRO
21%
21%
57%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |