CD Estrella vs CD Cerreño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
58%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+127%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CAN
0 - 0
EST
75%
15%
11%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
EST
4 - 0
ALO
31%
23%
47%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
MAZ
5 - 1
EST
43%
23%
34%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
EST
0 - 1
DCA
60%
19%
21%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
REP
2 - 0
EST
42%
23%
35%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CD Cerreño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CDC
2 - 1
CAS
40%
22%
38%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
ALM
2 - 1
CDC
51%
21%
28%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
CDC
1 - 1
BOL
58%
20%
21%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
GBL
0 - 1
CDC
59%
20%
21%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CDC
1 - 0
COR
27%
22%
51%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +1 |