CD España vs Ferriolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
24.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
SFF
1 - 0
CDE
39%
24%
37%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
CDE
0 - 2
CAM
57%
21%
21%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
MNU
2 - 1
CDE
30%
24%
46%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
MER
1 - 1
CDE
35%
24%
40%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
CDE
1 - 0
CFP
59%
21%
21%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ferriolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
FER
1 - 0
MER
53%
23%
24%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
CFP
2 - 2
FER
46%
25%
29%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
FER
4 - 1
UDI
75%
15%
9%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
SNF
2 - 1
FER
59%
22%
19%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
FER
1 - 2
FRR
65%
20%
15%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |