CD El Nacional vs Mushuc Runa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
20.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
MUS
0 - 2
NAC
45%
28%
28%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 1
LDU
39%
28%
33%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
AUC
0 - 0
NAC
58%
24%
19%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 2
UCE
37%
27%
36%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +3 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
FAM
2 - 0
NAC
49%
29%
22%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
MUS
0 - 2
NAC
45%
28%
28%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
IVT
2 - 1
MUS
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
MUS
0 - 1
CUE
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
LDU
1 - 0
MUS
61%
22%
16%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
MUS
1 - 1
BSC
34%
28%
38%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |