CD El Nacional vs Liga de Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
29.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
MUS
1 - 1
NAC
38%
26%
36%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 2
FEN
60%
21%
19%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 1
LDU
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
FEN
1 - 0
NAC
37%
24%
40%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
MAC
0 - 1
NAC
58%
23%
20%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
LIG
2 - 3
IVT
46%
26%
29%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
CUE
1 - 2
LIG
36%
28%
36%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
DEL
1 - 1
LIG
45%
27%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
LIG
2 - 0
FEN
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
DEL
0 - 0
LIG
47%
27%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |