CD El Nacional vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
NAC
37%
24%
39%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
AUC
3 - 0
NAC
35%
26%
40%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
DEL
1 - 3
NAC
47%
26%
28%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
NAC
3 - 2
SAN
60%
21%
19%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 2
EME
41%
25%
34%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2018 |
MAC
2 - 1
DEL
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
EME
2 - 0
MAC
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
MAC
1 - 3
IVT
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
TAC
0 - 0
MAC
24%
24%
52%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2018 |
MAC
1 - 1
TAC
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |