CD El Nacional vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
42.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
RIV
0 - 1
NAC
33%
26%
41%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 1
AME
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2019 |
BSC
0 - 0
NAC
63%
21%
17%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
FAM
0 - 4
NAC
26%
26%
48%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 2
TEC
52%
23%
25%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2019 |
OLM
1 - 0
IVT
22%
26%
53%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
IVT
4 - 0
AUC
59%
23%
18%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2019 |
IVT
0 - 1
LIG
50%
26%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2019 |
IVT
2 - 2
COR
45%
27%
28%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2019 |
COR
0 - 2
IVT
50%
27%
23%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |