CD El Nacional vs Libertad FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
13.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 1
NAC
27%
29%
44%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
AME
1 - 1
NAC
36%
28%
36%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 2
IVT
37%
25%
38%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
MAN
0 - 1
NAC
29%
28%
43%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 1
INJ
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 1
NAC
27%
29%
44%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 0
MAN
42%
29%
29%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
INJ
0 - 1
CAL
52%
26%
21%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 1
AME
35%
29%
36%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 0
CAL
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |