Lliga Primera FFCV Grupo 4 round 13

El Campello vs Novelda CF analysis

El Campello Novelda CF
21 ELO 16
-1.6% Tilt -9.3%
10420º General ELO ranking 10398º
1169º Country ELO ranking 1150º
ELO win probability
75%
El Campello
15.2%
Draw
9.8%
Novelda CF

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
El Campello
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
9.8%
Win probability
Novelda CF
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
El Campello
-22%
+3%
Novelda CF

ELO progression

El Campello
Novelda CF
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

El Campello
El Campello
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Dec. 2023
ATL
Atlético Catral
0 - 2
El Campello
CAM
30%
24%
46%
21 18 3 0
25 Nov. 2023
CAM
El Campello
1 - 0
S. Fulgencio
SPO
58%
21%
22%
21 19 2 0
18 Nov. 2023
CAM
El Campello
1 - 1
Murada
MUR
51%
22%
27%
21 19 2 0
12 Nov. 2023
CAM
El Campello
0 - 2
Almoradí
ALM
69%
18%
14%
21 17 4 0
05 Nov. 2023
VIL
Villena
1 - 0
El Campello
CAM
11%
18%
72%
22 12 10 -1

Matches

Novelda CF
Novelda CF
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Dec. 2023
NOV
Novelda CF
2 - 4
Benferri
BEN
40%
25%
35%
16 18 2 0
25 Nov. 2023
UEC
UE Crevillent
1 - 1
Novelda CF
NOV
67%
18%
15%
15 21 6 +1
19 Nov. 2023
NOV
Novelda CF
1 - 0
Mutxamel
MUT
17%
20%
62%
14 21 7 +1
12 Nov. 2023
VIJ
Villajoyosa
0 - 2
Novelda CF
NOV
47%
22%
30%
12 13 1 +2
05 Nov. 2023
ATL
Atlético Catral
1 - 1
Novelda CF
NOV
71%
17%
12%
12 17 5 0