CD Don Álvaro vs CD Azuaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
58.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
13º
16º
14º
62
1º
11º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 55 |
3º
|
72% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 54 |
4º
|
72% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
72% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 43 |
8º
|
72% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
81.5% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
81.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Don Álvaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
ADL
4 - 1
CDD
75%
16%
9%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CDD
3 - 3
UCL
68%
17%
15%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
CDD
1 - 0
OLI
30%
24%
46%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
PUE
2 - 0
CDD
50%
24%
26%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
CDD
1 - 0
MON
52%
22%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CD Azuaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
PLA
1 - 2
AZU
14%
21%
65%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
AZU
3 - 0
ADL
33%
25%
42%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +2 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
AZU
6 - 0
UCL
75%
16%
9%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
OLI
0 - 4
AZU
44%
24%
31%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
AZU
1 - 0
PUE
64%
21%
15%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |