Tercera División RFEF XIV - Extremadura Round 18

CD Don Álvaro vs CD Azuaga analysis

CD Don Álvaro CD Azuaga
17 ELO 31
10.5% Tilt -6.7%
12358º General ELO ranking 5265º
1890º Country ELO ranking 187º
ELO win probability
19.6%
CD Don Álvaro
22.2%
Draw
58.2%
CD Azuaga

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.6%
Win probability
CD Don Álvaro
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
58.2%
Win probability
CD Azuaga
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
CD Don Álvaro
-18%
+17%
CD Azuaga

Points and table prediction

CD Don Álvaro
Their league position
CD Azuaga
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
13º
16º
14º
62
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
AD Llerenense
64
64
100%
CD Azuaga
62
62
100%
Moralo
54
55
72%
Olivenza
53
54
72%
Jerez
48
51
100%
Arroyo
46
46
100%
Trujillo
44
44
72%
Villafranca
42
43
72%
Calamonte
39
40
81.5%
UD Fuente de Cantos
10º
38
38
10º
81.5%
Pueblonuevo
11º
32
32
11º
100%
Montehermoso
12º
31
31
12º
100%
Miajadas
13º
26
27
13º
100%
CD Don Álvaro
15º
24
25
14º
100%
Plasencia
14º
24
24
15º
100%
UC La Estrella
16º
21
21
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
CD Don Álvaro
CD Azuaga
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

CD Don Álvaro
CD Azuaga
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CD Don Álvaro
CD Don Álvaro
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jan. 2023
ADL
AD Llerenense
4 - 1
CD Don Álvaro
CDD
75%
16%
9%
18 30 12 0
15 Jan. 2023
CDD
CD Don Álvaro
3 - 3
UC La Estrella
UCL
68%
17%
15%
19 15 4 -1
08 Jan. 2023
CDD
CD Don Álvaro
1 - 0
Olivenza
OLI
30%
24%
46%
18 24 6 +1
18 Dec. 2022
PUE
Pueblonuevo
2 - 0
CD Don Álvaro
CDD
50%
24%
26%
18 20 2 0
11 Dec. 2022
CDD
CD Don Álvaro
1 - 0
Montehermoso
MON
52%
22%
27%
18 18 0 0

Matches

CD Azuaga
CD Azuaga
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jan. 2023
PLA
Plasencia
1 - 2
CD Azuaga
AZU
14%
21%
65%
30 17 13 0
15 Jan. 2023
AZU
CD Azuaga
3 - 0
AD Llerenense
ADL
33%
25%
42%
28 32 4 +2
08 Jan. 2023
AZU
CD Azuaga
6 - 0
UC La Estrella
UCL
75%
16%
9%
28 16 12 0
18 Dec. 2022
OLI
Olivenza
0 - 4
CD Azuaga
AZU
44%
24%
31%
27 25 2 +1
10 Dec. 2022
AZU
CD Azuaga
1 - 0
Pueblonuevo
PUE
64%
21%
15%
26 20 6 +1