CD Derio vs Gernika B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
31.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Derio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
ABC
0 - 0
CDD
52%
23%
25%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CDD
1 - 0
GAT
43%
26%
31%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
SDE
1 - 1
CDD
68%
19%
13%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
CDD
2 - 3
CLU
24%
25%
51%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
SDS
2 - 2
CDD
56%
23%
21%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Gernika B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
SDI
2 - 1
GER
63%
19%
18%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
GER
1 - 3
ZAM
22%
21%
57%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
AKE
0 - 0
GER
33%
22%
44%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
GER
4 - 0
CDD
43%
23%
34%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
DSJ
3 - 0
GER
58%
21%
21%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |