Tercera División RFEF IV - Basque Country Round 20

CD Derio vs SCD Durango analysis

CD Derio SCD Durango
35 ELO 34
-13.4% Tilt -20.8%
7699º General ELO ranking 7694º
379º Country ELO ranking 375º
ELO win probability
44.7%
CD Derio
24.5%
Draw
30.9%
SCD Durango

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
CD Derio
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
30.9%
Win probability
SCD Durango
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
CD Derio
+1%
+11%
SCD Durango

Points and table prediction

CD Derio
Their league position
SCD Durango
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
12º
40
17º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
CD Basconia
76
76
100%
Portugalete
70
70
100%
Leioa
66
66
100%
Beasain KE
64
64
100%
Deusto
54
54
100%
Deportivo Alavés C
48
48
100%
CD Touring
48
48
100%
CD Derio
47
47
100%
Eibar C
46
46
100%
Aretxabaleta
10º
44
44
10º
100%
CD Lagun Onak
11º
42
42
11º
100%
San Ignacio
12º
42
42
12º
100%
SCD Durango
13º
40
40
13º
100%
Pasaia KE
14º
39
39
14º
100%
Santurtzi
15º
38
38
15º
100%
Urduliz FT
16º
36
36
16º
100%
CD Padura
17º
29
29
17º
100%
San Viator
18º
8
8
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
CD Derio
SCD Durango
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

CD Derio
SCD Durango
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CD Derio
CD Derio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Jan. 2025
URD
Urduliz FT
2 - 1
CD Derio
CDD
25%
26%
49%
36 26 10 0
18 Jan. 2025
CDD
CD Derio
2 - 0
CD Lagun Onak
LON
41%
26%
33%
34 37 3 +2
11 Jan. 2025
CDD
CD Derio
2 - 0
Deportivo Alavés C
DAC
54%
22%
24%
33 28 5 +1
22 Dec. 2024
CDP
CD Padura
1 - 2
CD Derio
CDD
35%
27%
38%
31 29 2 +2
14 Dec. 2024
SNT
Santurtzi
0 - 1
CD Derio
CDD
35%
25%
40%
30 24 6 +1

Matches

SCD Durango
SCD Durango
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Jan. 2025
CDU
SCD Durango
2 - 2
Santurtzi
SNT
68%
19%
13%
34 24 10 0
19 Jan. 2025
BEA
Beasain KE
1 - 1
SCD Durango
CDU
57%
22%
21%
34 38 4 0
11 Jan. 2025
PAS
Pasaia KE
3 - 2
SCD Durango
CDU
37%
25%
38%
35 31 4 -1
21 Dec. 2024
CDU
SCD Durango
3 - 1
San Ignacio
SAN
38%
25%
37%
33 36 3 +2
15 Dec. 2024
BAS
CD Basconia
2 - 1
SCD Durango
CDU
73%
16%
11%
33 41 8 0