Derecho UVA vs Cabezon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.2%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.9%
49.8%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
5.4%
3-4
1.8%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derecho UVA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
CDU
3 - 1
DER
37%
21%
42%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CIS
1 - 3
DER
48%
20%
32%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
DER
3 - 0
GIM
54%
20%
26%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
POZ
2 - 2
DER
40%
20%
40%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
DER
3 - 2
ATL
20%
18%
62%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Cabezon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
CDU
2 - 1
CAB
22%
18%
60%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
CAB
4 - 2
CIS
53%
20%
27%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
GIM
0 - 2
CAB
22%
18%
60%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
CAB
4 - 2
POZ
60%
18%
22%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
ATL
4 - 2
CAB
41%
20%
39%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |