Cox vs Sax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
20.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cox
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
CDC
7 - 1
GRU
73%
15%
12%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
TOR
1 - 4
CDC
7%
14%
79%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
CDC
4 - 2
TOR
70%
17%
13%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
ALB
0 - 1
CDC
26%
21%
53%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
CDC
3 - 4
BIG
61%
20%
19%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2019 |
UDF
2 - 0
VIL
74%
15%
11%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
AYO
1 - 4
UDF
11%
17%
72%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
UDF
3 - 0
REA
51%
22%
27%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
FON
1 - 1
UDF
76%
14%
10%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
UDF
0 - 1
PET
19%
22%
60%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | -1 |