Cox vs Monovar A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
44.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-68%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cox
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
ALG
0 - 3
CDC
12%
17%
71%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
ELD
0 - 2
CDC
60%
19%
21%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
CDC
2 - 5
PIN
22%
23%
55%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
CDC
2 - 0
ALG
72%
17%
11%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
RAF
0 - 2
CDC
14%
18%
68%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Monovar A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
MON
0 - 3
UDF
72%
15%
12%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
MON
6 - 0
SVN
86%
10%
4%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
PET
1 - 5
MON
6%
12%
82%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
MON
2 - 0
RAY
77%
14%
9%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
BNY
0 - 4
MON
5%
11%
85%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | 0 |