Covaleda vs Arcos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
67.9%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Covaleda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ABE
3 - 1
COV
66%
18%
15%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
COV
1 - 1
CAL
50%
22%
28%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
SAM
2 - 0
COV
43%
23%
34%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
COV
2 - 2
LAN
48%
22%
30%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
COV
2 - 1
VIS
54%
21%
25%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arcos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ARC
2 - 1
NOR
85%
10%
5%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
CAS
3 - 4
ARC
9%
16%
75%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
ARC
1 - 0
TAR
48%
21%
31%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
ARC
6 - 1
LAN
71%
16%
13%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
ARC
4 - 1
NAV
79%
13%
8%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | +1 |