El Cotillo vs Unión Carrizal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.1%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
4.4%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-74%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Cotillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
COS
0 - 1
COT
15%
21%
65%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
COT
3 - 3
DOR
52%
24%
24%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
COT
1 - 1
LOM
70%
18%
12%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
COT
2 - 1
VLS
79%
14%
7%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
EST
2 - 1
COT
36%
25%
39%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Carrizal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
DOR
2 - 1
UCA
82%
12%
5%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
VLS
2 - 0
UCA
58%
21%
21%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
UCA
3 - 3
UDG
10%
16%
74%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
LOM
2 - 3
UCA
83%
11%
6%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
UCA
2 - 4
EST
6%
12%
82%
|
9 | 22 | 13 | 0 |