El Cotillo vs Arucas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
28.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Cotillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 1
COT
53%
23%
24%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
COT
2 - 0
VER
44%
24%
33%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CDB
3 - 1
COT
54%
24%
23%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
SDT
4 - 1
COT
59%
21%
20%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
COT
2 - 1
EST
47%
24%
29%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Arucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
ARU
1 - 1
VSB
15%
21%
64%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
LAN
3 - 1
ARU
66%
20%
15%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
ARU
0 - 1
LPA
10%
19%
71%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
ARU
1 - 1
MAR
49%
25%
26%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
VER
1 - 3
ARU
58%
22%
20%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +2 |