Corgo vs Sporting Lucense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.7%
36.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+1106%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
CAT
0 - 4
COR
27%
20%
53%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
TAB
3 - 0
COR
35%
21%
44%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
COR
10 - 0
REL
78%
13%
9%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
MON
2 - 0
COR
30%
20%
50%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 3
COR
17%
18%
66%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Lucense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
REL
2 - 4
SLU
12%
16%
73%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
SLU
1 - 1
CAR
76%
15%
9%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
RSI
2 - 4
SLU
21%
20%
59%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
SLU
2 - 1
SRN
63%
18%
19%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
SLU
2 - 0
CAT
59%
19%
22%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |