Corellano vs Gares analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
14.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corellano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
BUR
2 - 0
CDC
64%
21%
16%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
CDC
0 - 0
CAN
53%
23%
24%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
SUB
3 - 0
CDC
67%
17%
16%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
CDC
1 - 2
SJU
26%
26%
49%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
CDI
1 - 1
CDC
67%
18%
15%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Gares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
GAR
0 - 2
CDA
35%
26%
39%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
HUA
4 - 0
GAR
56%
24%
21%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
GAR
0 - 1
UDM
7%
15%
78%
|
16 | 41 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
BET
3 - 2
GAR
55%
24%
22%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
GAR
2 - 3
VAL
36%
26%
38%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |