CD Comercio vs San Martín Formosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
62.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SFE
2 - 1
COM
48%
23%
29%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
COM
2 - 1
FON
49%
22%
29%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
RES
3 - 0
COM
62%
20%
19%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
COM
1 - 3
HUR
46%
23%
31%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
SMA
2 - 1
COM
82%
12%
6%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
San Martín Formosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
FON
2 - 2
SMA
15%
22%
63%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
SMA
2 - 1
HUR
77%
16%
7%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
SFE
0 - 2
SMA
15%
20%
66%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
RES
2 - 2
SMA
17%
21%
63%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
SMA
2 - 1
COM
82%
12%
6%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |